"The single most costly (to the public) entity is the insurance company. They are the 'house' as in a gambling casino. They set the odds and the policies and the gambler will positively lose playing against the house. The citizen has to pick and chose the policies, deductibles, exclusions, etc. and then pay a premium (bet) against the house that some unknown medical need will fall within the policy. But even with that the house can cancel or refuse to honor the contract. Even casinos are more honorable than insurance companies." -- John Saarikko, "Universal Healthcare: The Truth Nobody Wants You To Know", March 2008
[Also, today is the Bengali New Year (except in places that celebrate it tomorrow ... er, I'm admittedly a complete newb when it comes to the Bengali calendar).]
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Were you aware we already spend over 250 *Billion* a year on Medicare and another 295 *Billion* a year on Medicaid? This is while NHS in the UK runs 20 Billion Pounds.
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Based on what I've heard so far (note sampling bias: a bunch of what I know comes from friends in ON) something close to the Canadian model seems most appealling, but if the numbers you have lying around pertain to the UK, they're still interesting data. I'd just find the data more meaningful for purposes of comparison if the apples and oranges were labelled as such so we'd be able to tell what we're comparing.
(Ifwhen I decide to get really seriously into understanding this topic in depth, I'll need to go STFW for life expectancy data, infant mortality, degree of disparity of QoL and life expectancy betwen poor and wealthy citizens in various countries, and underlying environmental factors affecting both health problems needing treatment and cost of providing treatment (e.g. remote areas not connected to anywhere else by roads vs. urban centers where a lot of high-tech resources can be assembled and get steady -- thus economical -- use by a large local population). Right now I mostly just know that we're not handling health care as well as we ought and that some other places have found ways to do it better.)
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Getting the idea yet, or do I need an even bigger cluehammer?
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While I am utterly convinced that Something Needs To Be Done, I'm not advocating a foolhardy rush to Just Do Anything. At the same time, I remain very hopeful that there is at least one Right Answer.
The big fear I have is that the insurance industry (and the number of jobs it represents) will have enough political clout to be an obstacle to fruitful change, and may take advantage of a Just Do Anything mindset to push through changes that do make things worse. But I do not think that outcome is a foregone conclusion, nor that attempts to fix the problem are inherently doomed for other reasons, nor that it is just or wise or safe to Do Nothing and leave the current setup in place intact and unmodified.
So far you've only convincingly demonstrated that we could possibly do worse (which I already knew), not that we can do no better.
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Medicare alone covers 40 million people (that's more than 13%). Also it only covers the elderly, the disabled, and people with End-Stage Renal Disease. In other words, the most expensive 13% of the population, maybe by an order of magnitude.
Maybe you should put that cluehammer back before you hurt yourself.
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295b + 250b = 545b
545b / 13 = 41.9b
41.9b * 100b = 4190b
Lets cut this in half to account for other factors.
2 Trillion. A "meer" 95% of the federal budget.
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How would Saarikko account for the presence of
so
many
non-profit
health
insurance
companies? They're not mentioned in his article; does he even realize that they exist?
Note that in the fifth paragraph I agree those break the analogy ...
Maybe not; I didn't, until you pointed them out. (Uh, I'm not seeing anything about being non-profit on the web sites of the ones I've clicked on so far -- I presume your info about their non-profit status is from elsewhere? Or am I just having a bad findstuffontheweb day?)
When I was covered by Kaiser Permanente, after they bought the HMO that had bought the HMO my former employer had used, I got a definite "we used to be about prevention and still see ourselves that way but act like we're all about short-term cost-containment only" vibe from them, they were skilled at nickle-and-diming their patients, and neither I nor my doctors were happy about their budgeting only five minutes per visit of doctor-patient face time (and no, that's not an exaggeration, at least not on my part -- five minutes was the number a doctor complaining about them (and about to take a job elsewhere) told me, and fit my observations).
Between that and the business of having rates go up and benefits decrease each year at policy-renewal time -- which yes, could just as well have been a non-profit just trying not to lose money in the face of increasing costs as it could be greed -- from a patient's point of view there wasn't a whole lot to distinguish them from a for-profit company.
Some of the changes made sense to me -- when they stopped covering prescriptions filled at convenient neighbourhood drug stores and made us go to the pharmacies in their facilities, I grumbled, but I didn't get angry at that (I did get upset at their letter about it describing the change as being "for your convenience" when there was no plausible way to spin it as being more convenient). When they started disallowing various drugs where there was a similar but not identical drug available (e.g., trying to tell me different antihistamines were interchangeable when I knew from experience the one they wanted to switch me to did not work for me, or switching me from a more effective proton pump inhibitor to a less effective one), then I got more than a little bit annoyed.
So in the context of Saariko's argument that the 'house' skims its profit off the top without adding any benefit in return, an organization like Kaiser must(?) be skimming less (i.e. just its administrative costs, including executive salaries, but not womdigious corporate profits -- in theory possibly adding enough organizational efficiency compared to a non-HMO approach to make that a good value (but not, AFAICT, in practice)), and thus a valid counterexample to the analogy I quoted, the HMOs I've dealt with (four, I think) have still been broken in much the same way as health care in the US overall is broken.
Thing is, if I understand the history right, HMOs started off as a promising-sounding attempt to fix (or at least patch) that brokenness, and may have actually functioned that way for a while, by the time I became a patient of one they had started turning into an example of how such an attempt can go awry. *sigh*
Which illustrates how important it is that we choose/design a new system carefully, and not just assume that anything else will be better than what we have ... as well as how important it is that we do find something better than what we have.